Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.616954 4.175391 4.789132 5.513406 6.344525 7.268218 8.372558
2025-01-05 2.884516 3.625193 4.507881 5.636273 7.039623 8.726852 10.909245
2025-01-12 2.311479 3.128944 4.174406 5.607151 7.517697 9.976066 13.378991
2025-01-19 1.797847 2.601939 3.697638 5.295853 7.564075 10.664622 15.223126
2025-01-26 1.571449 2.414455 3.630107 5.504614 8.316405 12.371552 18.660009
2025-02-02 1.435064 2.327841 3.683004 5.880285 9.344966 14.588414 23.118342
2025-02-09 1.269205 2.165143 3.591291 6.013684 10.013468 16.341480 27.099087
2025-02-16 1.120568 2.003454 3.472367 6.077520 10.566863 17.967168 31.069990
2025-02-23 0.960397 1.795178 3.243391 5.918805 10.718765 18.942866 34.071758
2025-03-02 0.810398 1.580213 2.969820 5.638210 10.611577 19.449542 36.304680
2025-03-09 0.727376 1.475341 2.876353 5.665166 11.050172 20.948795 40.467444
2025-03-16 0.635928 1.339922 2.706458 5.522595 11.148667 21.831893 43.583271
2025-03-23 0.603255 1.319902 2.760930 5.833993 12.182884 24.630367 50.784615
2025-03-30 0.562088 1.276124 2.762339 6.039664 13.036108 27.187492 57.847983
2025-04-06 0.507897 1.195836 2.677206 6.053103 13.495458 29.015572 63.666200
2025-04-13 0.434496 1.060918 2.456338 5.742416 13.222399 29.301796 66.287358
2025-04-20 0.411739 1.039544 2.482270 5.983530 14.190433 32.329149 75.203562
2025-04-27 0.402460 1.048961 2.579250 6.400611 15.610221 36.507159 87.190122
2025-05-04 0.376504 1.012980 2.564643 6.551226 16.428386 39.433071 96.673643
2025-05-11 0.348598 0.967565 2.520774 6.624002 17.068571 42.022802 105.682340
2025-05-18 0.310971 0.890479 2.387320 6.453249 17.085839 43.143184 111.289279
2025-05-25 0.271572 0.802064 2.212059 6.148941 16.721920 43.290748 114.496633
2025-06-01 0.251510 0.764644 2.165516 6.178914 17.228912 45.653436 123.591660